MLB Free Pick and Preview – Cardinals vs Reds 8-16-08
August 16, 2008
We are going to revisit the Cardinals again on Saturday after a nice winner on Friday over the Reds. The same rules apply. The Cardinals are trying to run down the Milwaukee Brewers for the NL Wildcard spot, and they are well within striking distance. The question is really who gets hot at the right time. The problem for the Cards is that the Brewers have been on a very good run of their own and have been able to keep St. Louis in second place.
Situation-wise this game heavily favors the Cardinals since the Reds are somewhat lacking in motivation for the remainder of their season. St. Louis also holds a pretty strong statistical edge and they are coasting into Saturday’s game on some great trends. The Redbirds have won 9 of their last 11 on the road, a stat that bodes well for them if they want to make a serious run at the Brewers for that NL Wildcard spot. They are also backing Saturday’s starter, Joel Pineiro well all season, especially as of late. St. Louis is 6-2 in Pineiro’s last 8 starts including his last 4 road starts. That’s pretty good considering the Reds have lost 7 of their starter, Aaron Harang’s, last 10 starts.
I touched on the fact that the Reds had pretty much mailed it in for the 2008 season, but I want to back it up a little again with statistics. 4-16 is the Reds’ record in their last 20 games, and they’ve lost 7 in a row at home. At home, where the Reds are traditionally very solid. See if you can find this line at -110 or better on the Cardinals, but I’d be confident in them for up to a -125 money line.
ST. LOUIS CARDINALS @ CINCINNATI REDS 8/15/2008
J. Pineiro (5-5, 4.82), A. Harang (3-12, 5.17)
Saturday’s Free Pick: St. Louis Cardinals -105 (list Harang)
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