Cowboys @ Browns Odds, NFL Picks, and Predictions

The Cowboys and Browns have their hopes set high for the 2008 NFL season.  The Browns were one of the biggest surprises in the NFL last season as they won 10 of their 16 games and just barely missed out on the playoffs. All of this happening for Cleveland after winning a total of just 10 games in the previous two years combined.  The Dallas Cowboys were expected to be one of the top teams in the league last year, and they delivered in the regular season with a 13-3 record.  Dallas was ousted from the playoffs by the eventual Super Bowl Champion New York Giants, but the Cowboys return another solid team in 2008 and are looking to improve on the success they enjoyed throughout 2007.

 

The Dallas offense has grown into one of the most productive units in the NFL over the past few years.  A big part of that success can be credited to Tony Romo, who put up incredible numbers last season.  Romo can’t take all of the credit, however, because he has a great supporting cast.  Terrell Owens was less of a distraction off the field last year and it lead to one of his better offensive seasons.  Another of Romo’s favorite targets, tight end Jason Witten, was a powerful offensive weapon, putting up amazing numbers at his position with 96 receptions and over 1,100 yards.  The ground game should be solid again with Marion Barber returning to the backfield.  Barber is a hard-nosed runner that can pick up yards when the Cowboys need them, but is a back that can also break some impressive runs with his great ability to break tackles.

 

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On defense the Cowboys made some good additions to an already solid squad.  Adam “Pac-Man” Jones was allowed to join the team, which adds some depth to a secondary lead by Pro-Bowlers Terence Newman and Anthony Harris at the corners.  The defensive line and linebacker crews combine for one of the best rush defenses in the NFL, in fact, Dallas finished the season allowing just 94.6 yards per game on the ground, good for 6th best in the league.  It’s hard to find holes to exploit in this defense, giving the Cowboys a great chance to be one of the dominant defensive teams in the NFL in 2008.

 

Cleveland could have been looking at Dallas when they built their team.  They have a big play threat at wide receiver in Braylon Edwards, plus they have one of the most explosive tight ends in the league with Kellen Winslow.  Derek Anderson is back as the Browns signal-caller and he is trying to build on a very impressive 2007 showing.  Anderson threw 29 TDs last year on 3,787 yards passing.  The Browns scored a great second or third option receiver in the off season by grabbing Dante Stallworth, so they are in position to be a productive offense in ‘08.  The running game was a big part of the Brown’s offense last season with a healthy Jamal Lewis, who racked up over 1,300 yards, but Lewis has a nagging hamstring injury and they do not have much depth lined up behind him.  If the running game can give enough openings to a very dangerous passing attack, the Browns can make another run at a playoff-caliber season.  Their first challenge will be against a very good Dallas defense, but their performance Sunday should tell them a lot about how good they really are.

 

While the offense in Cleveland was certainly on the right track last year, the defense needed some changes, and that’s exactly what they got.  The Browns bolstered their front 3 defensive linemen, which should improve the rush defense all around.  There are still some major concerns in the secondary, particularly in a game against an offense that likes to pass as much as the Cowboys do.  Trades and injuries have hurt a defensive backfield that was already the biggest problem on this Brown’s team.  Hopefully the Browns can patch together a good enough secondary to keep them competitive because their offense can win them games if the defense gives them the support to do so.

 

BetUs has the Cowboys -5.5 on the road, but as a home underdog coming off of a very good season, the Browns +5.5 looks tempting.  The Browns expectations are high after last year’s game play.  This season could be a big step forward for the Browns, or a giant step back.  Only time will tell, but a win over the Cowboys in Week 1 would be a tremendous accomplishment for this group.  For the Cowboys, nothing less than a dominant win will do.  If they want to establish themselves as the team to beat in the NFL, which they very well may be, it all has to start with convincing win over the Browns in Cleveland Sunday.

 

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Cincinnati-Oklahoma Odds, Predictions, and Free Pick

Saturday’s game between Oklahoma and Cincinnati is one of the better match ups on the board, though you might not know it with top sportsbooks setting the spread for the game at Oklahoma -21.  Both teams dominated in their season opener against weaker teams, of course, but confidence will be riding high for the Sooners as well as the Bearcats.

 

Cincinnati’s starting QB, Dustin Grutza got off to a blazing start in week one, scoring 4 touchdowns (3 passing, 1 rushing) and racking up 296 yards passing, good enough for Big East Player of the Week honors.  Grutza and the rest of the Bearcat offense will have their hands full this week against a very good Oklahoma defense, but if the QB can stay consistent and the offensive line can give him time to throw, they can put up a fight in Oklahoma Saturday.  Don’t expect 550+ yards of total offense from this squad again this week, but with the talent they put on the field you shouldn’t expect them to be totally absent either.

 

The Bearcat defense also impressed against Eastern Kentucky in week one.  They only allowed one touchdown in a 40-7 rout of the Colonels.  Playing from behind all game allowed Eastern Kentucky to rack up over 100 yards through the air (still not a very impressive feat), but the Cincy rush defense allowed just 48 yards on the ground, a solid number against any level of competition.

 

The Oklahoma Sooners were predictably dominant in the season opener against Chattanooga last week.  OU dominated the first half of the game, going up 50-0 by halftime, before mercifully easing up in the second half, eventually winning 57-2.  The running and passing games were both hitting on all cylinders against an out-matched defense which allowed Oklahoma to rack up 487 yards by the final whistle.

 

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On the defensive side of the ball, the Sooners were even more impressive than Cincinnati was against Eastern Kentucky.  This unit allowed a total of 16 rushing yards and 20 passing yards, allowing a total of only 36 yards of total offense.  The defensive line is one of the best in the nation and will certainly be causing fits in the backfield for the Cincinnati offense all game long.

 

The 21 point spread for this game is a little bit surprising considering that this is a big jump in competition for the Sooners, at least at first glance.  But, looking up and down the field at these teams you start to realize just how much better of a team that Oklahoma is.  The Sooners are one of the elite teams in college football.  Do not be surprised to see them in the BCS Championship this season.  On both sides of the ball they are head-and-shoulders above the Bearcats.  Three touchdowns might seem like a lot, but don’t think for a minute that Bob Stoops’s crew is going to let up against a more nationally-known opponent.

 

Prediction:  Oklahoma 44, Cincinnati 16

 

Free Pick:  Bet on the Oklahoma Sooners -21

 

 

Texans-Steelers Odds

The Steelers will be looking to get off to a quick start to the 2008 NFL season as they host the Houston Texans, a team looking to improve upon a surprising 8-8 season in 2007.  The Steelers are in position to make another post season run, but don’t sleep on this much-improved Houston squad.  Pro Internet sportsbook, ThePig.com, has Sunday’s line favoring the Steelers -6 at home.

 

Pittsburgh had a rough finish to their ‘07 campaign.  After starting the year 9-3 they lost 3 of their last four in the regular season and were ousted by Jacksonville in the AFC wild-card game.  Pittsburgh can put that all behind them with a quick win out of the gates.  They’ll have Big Ben Roethlisberger back to lead the offense.  Roethlisberger is coming off of his best statistical season, but, as was proved later in the season, having Ben pass more is not necessarily the best option for this team.  Hines Ward and Santonio Holmes are likely to be Roethlisberger’s favorite targets down the field in 2008.  The Steelers return Willie Parker to the backfield and also added Rashard Mendenhall through the NFL Draft to give Parker a breather, and, hopefully for Mendenhall, to eventually earn a starting spot.

 

The Steelers had an excellent defense last year.  They ended up allowing only 266.4 yards of total offense per game, a big reason they were so successful early in the season.  That number increased, along with the points they allowed per game toward the end of the season, which also marked the beginning of the Steelers’ struggles.  It remains clear that for this team to be successful their defense has to lead the way.

 

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The Texans have to be pleased with their performance last year.  For them to improve in 2008 QB Matt Schaub will need to stay healthy all season, and Houston will need to establish a presence in their running game.  Schaub’s favorite target, Andre Johnson should be healthy this season, and that’s great news for Texan’s fans as he is an explosive key player for this offense.  The running back position is up for grabs right now with Chris Brown out for the season, Ahman Green is banged up yet again, so Chris Taylor and rookie Steve Slaton will have a change to prove their mettle.

 

The Houston defense will be lead by the defensive line and Mario Williams, who after a disappointing 2006 rookie season improved dramatically in 2007, particularly on his pass-rush, and scored 14 sacks.  The rest of the defense will need to improve for this team to make a jump to the playoffs in 2008.

 

There are still not a lot of people sold on the Texans.  They were so bad for so long, who can blame them?  But, you can’t overlook the fact that they earned 8 wins in the NFL last year, just two less than the Steelers.  The Steelers have all of their key players in place and have even made some interesting additions that could prove useful in the right situations.  On paper it looks like another playoff season for Pittsburgh, but that’s why they play the games.  Before they can start thinking about the post season they’ll have to get past a hungry young Houston Texans team.  If you’re not convinced that the Steelers can pull out their home opener, bet on the Texans +6.

 

 

Redskins-Giants Odds and Pick

Fresh off of one of the biggest upsets in Super Bowl history, the New York Giants open their season, and the NFL season, by hosting the Washington Redskins.  Expectations will be high in New York this season.  The Giants will be out to prove that 2007 wasn’t a fluke and to do that they will need to start 2008 with a win against an NFC East opponent.  Washington will see a new face at head coach as Jim Zorn takes over for Joe Gibbs.  The Redskins won four games in a row to round out their 2007 regular season, so they obviously want to use that momentum to their advantage in this season/division opener.  JustBet has Thursday’s line set at the New York Giants -3 1/2 points at home.

 

Offensively, the Redskins have the majority of their major play-makers returning for the 2008 season.  Quarterback Jason Campbell put together a respectable season before heading to the injured reserve with knee problems last season.  With Campbell healed, the Redskins can take advantage of their top two wide outs, Santana Moss and Antwaan Randle El.  The real success of the offense, however, will rely heavily on the shoulders of starting running back, Clinton Portis.  Portis has caught a bad rap for his lack of durability, but he has gone over 1,200 yards rushing in the of the last 4 years.  It will be interesting to see how a new offense works with this squad.  Joe Gibbs instituted a run-first policy, but with some serious play-makers in Moss and Randle El, the West Coast style offense might be a better fit, in fact, it might open things up for Portis, who also has big-play capability.

 

The biggest off-season acquisition for the Redskins this year came in the form of former Miami Dolphin defensive end, Jason Taylor.  Taylor is one of the best pass-rushers in the game and he will give a great boost to this already solid defense if he can get healthy.  If there is a weakness on this side of the ball it’s that the Skins have had trouble with the deep-ball in the past.  They’ll need to remedy that if they want to improve this year, but their rush defense is so good that most teams are forced into passing as their primary means to move the ball.

 

Eli Manning turned in a decent regular season in 2007 before having a spectacular post-season.  In the preseason Manning seemed to have more confidence, which was one of the biggest knocks on him during the regular season last year.  Despite some contract disputes, Plaxico Burress is back along with veteran wide receiver Amani Toomer.  Jeremy Shockey is gone, and while it never hurts to have another good option on the field, the Giants won the Super Bowl without him, and his off-the-field remarks were nothing but a distraction for a team with a lot of good things going for it.  Kevin Boss proved to be a solid filler at the TE spot last year and he will be back with the team for the 2008 campaign.  The Giants also bring back a solid running game to the table with Brandon Jacobs starting and Derrick Ward coming in to give the big man a breather from time to time.  This combo worked very well for the Giants last season and there’s no reason the same formula won’t work this time around.

 

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There are some concerns defensively for the Giants, and not without good reason.  They lost Michael Strahan to retirement, which was expected, but the loss of their best returning pass-rusher, Osi Umenyiora for the entire season came as a major blow to this defensive attack.  One of the major reasons the Giants were so good in the playoffs last year was the play of that defensive line, which has been almost completely retooled.  The rest of the defense is intact for the most part, which is a good thing, but the real question will be how the defensive line deal with the loss of its two best players.

 

Head to head these teams match up very well.  The Giants are brimming with the confidence that comes from a winning an NFL Championship, but they’ll have to prove they can avoid a Super Bowl hangover against a talented Washington team.  Washington looked like a playoff team in the second half of the 2007 season.  Hopefully, a change at head coach allows this team to move forward and not take a few steps back.

 

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Colorado-Colorado State Odds and Prediction

Sunday in-state rivals collide with the Colorado State Rams hosting the Colorado Buffaloes.  The Buffs own the all-time series record by a 58-19 record, including four of the last five meetings, but in recent years these games have been closer and closer.  CSU won a disappointing 3 games last year, while Colorado mustered six wins and a trip to the Independence Bowl where they would eventually lose to Alabama 24-30.  Colorado head coach, Dan Hawkins, is optimistic about the season and he has good reason to be with the success he enjoyed last year.  Colorado State should be happy with any improvement they are able to make.  The master lines-makers over at ThePig.com have the point spread for this bitter rivalry set at Colorado -11.

 

Hawkins managed just two wins in his first year as Colorado’s head coach in 2006, but improved to six wins last year and a bowl bid.  The big question for the Buffaloes will be if they can continue to improve.  That could be difficult for Colorado, who will be starting a lot of young players on offense.  There is a solid core of offensive starters returning with 6, but at key skill positions like wide receiver and running back, Colorado is admittedly inexperienced.  If there’s one thing that could be learned from the 2007 season from the Buffaloes offense it is that Hawkin’s offensive game plan can be effective if executed correctly.  Last season one of  the keys to COlorado’s success was avoiding turning the ball over, which will again be a major factor in how they end up in 2008.  This team is probably a year or two away from making any real noise in the Big 12.  They have a brutal conference schedule to start their season, so their opening two, non-conference games are going to be crucial to this team’s confidence.

 

Defensively, Colorado needs to make vast improvements.  Last season saw a Buffaloes team that gave up more than 29 points per game and nearly 390 years of total offense per game, both numbers higher than what their offense was able to put out.  On paper, 2008 does not look like it will be any improvement on 2007’s numbers with some of their best, veteran players gone for various reasons.  Their secondary has some depth and talent, so it should be a source of stregth for the D.  Overall 8 of the 11 starters are back from last year.  They are still a young team, but hopefully they can take some of their early experience and turn the defense into a strength for this team rather than it’s biggest weekness.

 

Colorado State brings back 7 offensive starters for the 2008 season.  They will be trying to improve on what was an average offensive season, at best, in 2007.  The Rams managed 25 points per game on 380 yard of total offense, which would be considered pretty good in most conferences, but in the offense-heavy Mountain West Conference, those offensive numbers were not enough to keep this team comeptitive.

 

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A big source of weakness for the Rams last season was the defense.  This is a squad that gave up over 414 yards of total offense and 30 points per game last season.  It’s quite obvious that if these numbers don’t improve dramatically, Colorado State is not going to be competitive yet again this year.  Only 5 starters from last year’s defense return, which doesn’t have to be a bad thing, especially after what last year’s team was able to accomplish, but 6 new starters will need to gel with the rest of the team quickly for 2008 to be any better than 2007.

 

Make no mistake, neither of these teams will be mistaken for a BCS contender.  Honestly, neither will probably be any threat in their respective conferences.  Colorado is the better team on paper here, but not by a huge margin.  Rivalry games seem to bring out the best in players.  We are recommending the Colorado State Rams +11 to defend their home turf and win or keep this game very close.

 

Prediction:  Colorado State 31, Colorado 28

 

 

Wake Forest-Baylor College Football Preview 8-28-08

After a strong finish to the 2007 season, the Wake Forest Demon Deacons open up the 2008 season ranked #23 in the nation. Their opener Thursday against the Baylor Bears will be a good litmus test for a team that appears to be on the verge of becoming a serious threat in the ACC.

 

Baylor started their 2007 campaign slowly with losses to Boston College and Nebraska before rattling off 6 wins in a row, finishing out their season by winning 9 of their last 11 games including a victory over the Connecticut Huskies in the Meineke Bowl.

 

Defensively, the Deacons return 9 starters to a team that ranked 14th in the nation in rushing yards allowed, but 67th in passing yards allowed. The team’s secondary obviously needs to make some improvements if they hope to remain in the top 25 rankings for long.

 
 
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The offense will be lead by running back Josh Adams, last season’s ACC rookie of the year, and quarterback Riley Skinner, who lead the nation with a 72.4 completion percentage and who was 2006’s ACC rookie of the year.

 

Wake’s offensive strategy relies more on controlling the ball and the clock more than putting points on the board, so you can see how they finished with 9-4 record last year despite being ranked 94th in total offense at the end of the season.

 

If 2007 was any indication of what 2008 will be like for Baylor, it’s going to be another long season for the Bears’ faithful. Baylor is picked to finish dead-last in the Big 12 again, and who can blame the experts for that after the Bears’ 3-9 performance last year.

 

Baylor gets a new head coach for the 2008 season in Art Briles. Briles has more than a little work to do to get this program headed in the right direction. He will try to keep the Bears out of the cellar in the Big 12 South, a position that Baylor has held in 11 of the 12 seasons that the Big 12 South has existed.

 

The Baylor defense ranked 111th overall last season and it is hard to imagine them making much of an improvement in 2008 with just 6 returning starters on that side of the ball.

 

Offensively, the Bears fared a little better than their defensive counterparts, but they were still ranked 86th in total offense and 114th in points scored per game. They can hope for a little improvement from last season with 9 starters returning, but it remains to be seen if they will mesh as an offensive unit, or if it will be more of the same from this Baylor offense.

 

These two squads haven’t met since 1961, so any prior records or trends are irrelevant. Wake Forest is a team whose stock is on the rise in the ACC. We will see if a new head coach can start Baylor in that same direction in the Big 12.

 

Game Time:  Thursday, August 28th  8:00 PM EST

 

GAME ODDS: 

Wake Forest Demon Deacons -13
Baylor Bears +13

 

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